Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.290595 0.339906 0.392017 0.450901 0.515308 0.583346 0.660382
2025-02-02 0.224927 0.292749 0.369149 0.460425 0.565375 0.681210 0.817665
2025-02-09 0.169968 0.246825 0.339048 0.455087 0.594523 0.754212 0.948463
2025-02-16 0.134609 0.217477 0.322989 0.461991 0.635366 0.839987 1.095268
2025-02-23 0.103751 0.187905 0.301812 0.458764 0.661483 0.907338 1.220969
2025-03-02 0.074901 0.155080 0.271331 0.439326 0.664154 0.944230 1.309236
2025-03-09 0.059487 0.138876 0.260986 0.444418 0.696821 1.017720 1.442634
2025-03-16 0.044012 0.118789 0.241925 0.434920 0.708399 1.063470 1.541253
2025-03-23 0.037381 0.112704 0.243084 0.453565 0.757797 1.158312 1.702910
2025-03-30 0.028735 0.100340 0.232380 0.453332 0.780262 1.217627 1.819478
2025-04-06 0.022129 0.090136 0.223699 0.454943 0.804557 1.279106 1.939114
2025-04-13 0.017859 0.083874 0.220913 0.465065 0.840773 1.356736 2.080451
2025-04-20 0.014696 0.079521 0.221347 0.480701 0.886130 1.448652 2.243508
2025-04-27 0.011975 0.075337 0.221517 0.495707 0.930806 1.540354 2.407599
2025-05-04 0.008433 0.066687 0.211621 0.493023 0.948543 1.594814 2.522534
2025-05-11 0.006386 0.061887 0.208834 0.502002 0.983881 1.674117 2.671583
2025-05-18 0.004241 0.054816 0.199999 0.499573 1.001186 1.727942 2.786513
2025-05-25 0.002137 0.044716 0.182273 0.479559 0.989775 1.740126 2.844296
2025-06-01 0.001365 0.040918 0.178795 0.485270 1.018978 1.810727 2.982687
2025-06-08 0.000603 0.034623 0.167617 0.475388 1.022365 1.843558 3.068894
2025-06-15 0.000435 0.034062 0.171717 0.495253 1.074679 1.948479 3.256195
2025-06-22 0.000174 0.030252 0.165930 0.495068 1.093666 2.004412 3.375447
2025-06-29 0.000052 0.027102 0.161332 0.496810 1.115652 2.064830 3.501330